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Saturday, December 7, 2024

The Great Fermi Filter

Question to Grok: What is the Fermi Great Filter?

Grok: 

The Fermi Great Filters, also known as the "Great Filter," are a conceptual framework proposed to address the Fermi Paradox, which questions the absence of evidence for extraterrestrial civilizations despite the high probability of their existence given the vastness of the universe. Here's an overview based on available information:

Definition and Origin: The concept was introduced by economist Robin Hanson in his 1998 essay, "The Great Filter – Are We Almost Past It?" It suggests that there are evolutionary or developmental stages that most life must pass through, with at least one of these stages being extraordinarily difficult or unlikely to overcome, thus "filtering out" civilizations before they can become observable or interstellar.

Stages of the Filter: The Great Filter could be positioned at various points:
  1. Abiogenesis: The transition from non-life to life, which might be extremely rare.
  2. Evolution of Simple to Complex Life: The leap from single-celled to multicellular organisms or the development of intelligent life.
  3. Development of Technology: Civilizations might destroy themselves or be unable to advance technologically due to various reasons like nuclear war, environmental collapse, or failure to manage advanced technologies like AI.
  4. Interstellar Colonization: The final step where civilizations become space-faring and potentially visible to us, but this might be prevented by unforeseen challenges or self-imposed limitations.
  5. Implications for Humanity: If the Great Filter is behind us, humanity would be relatively rare, suggesting we've already passed a significant barrier. This would be somewhat comforting as it implies we might continue to advance.
If the Great Filter lies ahead, it suggests that many civilizations might have existed but failed to survive long enough to colonize space or communicate across it, which would be a grim prospect for humanity's future.

Current Discussions and Theories: Some contemporary discussions revolve around the idea that AI or other technological risks might serve as the Great Filter, where civilizations might not survive their own technological advancements.

The exact nature and location of the Great Filter remain speculative, with ongoing debates in scientific communities about whether we've already passed it or if it still awaits us. This concept underscores the profound questions about our place in the universe and the challenges any intelligent life might face in becoming a long-lasting, visible civilization.


Terran note:  The Fremi Filter is an example of what Clif High refers to "gritology" in that by smashing matter to bits you can get consciousness.  It actually works the other way around , matter emerges from consciousness which is what life is.  Consciousness pervades it all, including what has been designated "non-life" which is a very low level of consciousness. Consciousness does not emerge from matter, it precedes it.   Is Elon hinting at ET disclosure?  Humanity is not only NOT rare, its ubiquitous, comprising my some estimates 470,000 civilizations.  Every wonder why it is, they only show images of grays?

What the elites fear, is you finding out you have a galaxy full of cousins and we didn't have to go through all this trouble on this the planet for millennia.